UCL Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Ajax vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
11%
20%
68%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1995 |
HKS
0 - 0
AJA
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
FCD
1 - 3
AJA
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 1
RJC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
HKS
3 - 1
HNS
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
ZAD
1 - 1
HKS
19%
30%
50%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1995 |
HKS
0 - 0
AJA
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
MAR
1 - 0
HKS
25%
29%
46%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |