Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-1
Ajax vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1993 |
HKS
1 - 0
AJA
35%
27%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
VIT
0 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
INT
1 - 1
HKS
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
HKS
4 - 2
DZG
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1993 |
HKS
1 - 0
AJA
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
OSI
1 - 4
HKS
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
HKS
5 - 1
PAZ
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |