Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
MFK
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
5 - 2
SCH
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ZWO
0 - 2
AJA
33%
26%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 2
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
BVO
2 - 3
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
GRO
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |