Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
6 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
UTR
21%
27%
51%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 3
FEY
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
TWE
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |