Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
AJA
40%
25%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 1
VOL
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RJC
3 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 0
GRA
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |