Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 4
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 0
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 1
GRO
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NEC
3 - 1
GRA
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |