Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 2
LAU
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
32%
24%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
58%
21%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2000 |
LAU
1 - 0
AJA
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 2
VIT
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
NEC
2 - 1
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
RBC
2 - 4
GRA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |