Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
BVO
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 2
UTR
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
NEC
2 - 3
GRA
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
VIT
3 - 1
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
GRA
3 - 1
BVO
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |