Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
AUX
0 - 1
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 0
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
4 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
GRA
3 - 2
RKC
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |