Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.8%
1.8%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
17%
22%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 0
FTC
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1995 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
RMA
0 - 2
AJA
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
GRA
3 - 0
UTR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
PSV
8 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
GRO
3 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |