Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.7%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
AJA
5 - 1
ZWO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
62%
19%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 7
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
MVV
0 - 2
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 6
TWE
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 0
WIL
57%
23%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
ZWO
3 - 1
GRA
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
SPA
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |