Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.9
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
55%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
GLE
1 - 6
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 1
RJC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 3
AJA
23%
27%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
TWE
8 - 0
GRA
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
GRA
5 - 3
TEL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 1
EIN
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
MVV
2 - 2
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 1
NEC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |