Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 4
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 0
AZA
56%
21%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
BYM
1 - 1
AJA
73%
16%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
GAE
2 - 0
BVO
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
GAE
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GAE
3 - 0
RJC
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
GAE
2 - 2
SPA
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |