Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
S04
3 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
S04
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GAE
2 - 3
GRO
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
GAE
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 4
HER
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
FEY
8 - 0
GAE
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 2
GAE
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |