Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 1
AJA
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 0
ZWO
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
APO
1 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 5
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GAE
3 - 2
ZWO
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 3
GAE
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 4
FEY
26%
25%
50%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 0
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ADO
1 - 1
GAE
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |