Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 2
VOL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
46%
23%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 0
AJA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
69%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
DVS
0 - 3
GAE
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
GAE
0 - 0
BVO
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 0
GAE
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 4
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GAE
3 - 3
GRO
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |