Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
2 - 6
AJA
28%
23%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
GAE
0 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 1
VVV
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BVV
3 - 2
GAE
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
GAE
0 - 3
SPA
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
PSV
2 - 0
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |