Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.1%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
7 - 0
HER
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
AJA
2 - 1
MVV
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
GAE
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 3
FEY
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
BOS
1 - 0
GAE
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 3
GAE
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |