Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
5 - 3
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1981 |
TOT
3 - 0
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
AJA
6 - 1
GRO
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
TWE
1 - 0
GAE
79%
14%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
GAE
2 - 2
ZWO
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
WIL
3 - 2
GAE
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
GAE
3 - 2
FEY
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |