Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
VOL
1 - 3
AJA
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 1
GAE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
GAE
5 - 3
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |