Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 7
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 3
AJA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 2
HFC
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 0
AMS
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
VOL
1 - 0
GAE
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
GAE
5 - 1
TEL
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 0
AZA
28%
26%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |