Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LSK
2 - 0
AJA
35%
27%
39%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
RJC
4 - 1
AJA
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 2
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
AJA
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
AJA
3 - 1
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
GAE
1 - 2
HFC
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
TWE
3 - 1
GAE
74%
17%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
GAE
1 - 4
PSV
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
SPA
4 - 0
GAE
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
GAE
3 - 2
ADO
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |