Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 0
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AJA
7 - 0
UTR
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
MUD
2 - 0
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
GAE
3 - 3
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ADO
8 - 2
GAE
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
GAE
2 - 5
PSV
22%
25%
54%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
HFC
0 - 0
GAE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
AZA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |