Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 1
AJA
58%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
1 - 0
ANT
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
6 - 1
RJC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
0 - 0
STO
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
AZA
1 - 0
GAE
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 0
HFC
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
UTR
3 - 0
GAE
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
PSV
5 - 1
GAE
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |