Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
CSK
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 0
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
GAE
2 - 2
AMS
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
PSV
10 - 0
GAE
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
GAE
5 - 0
GRO
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
GAE
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
GAE
3 - 1
RJC
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |