Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
AMS
1 - 2
AJA
27%
22%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
HFC
97%
3%
1%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 0
INT
78%
12%
10%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1972 |
AJA
12 - 1
VIT
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
GAE
2 - 1
TEL
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 0
GAE
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1972 |
PSV
2 - 0
GAE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
GAE
1 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
GRO
0 - 1
GAE
34%
30%
36%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |