Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
MAR
1 - 2
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1971 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
16%
26%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
NEC
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
SGD
0 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
GAE
1 - 0
BOS
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
VOL
0 - 0
GAE
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
GAE
5 - 0
TEL
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
UTR
3 - 3
GAE
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
GAE
0 - 1
FEY
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |