Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 5
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
DWS
2 - 1
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
PSV
0 - 1
AJA
25%
25%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1968 |
FEN
0 - 2
AJA
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 1
GAE
23%
22%
55%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
GAE
2 - 1
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
NAC
1 - 1
GAE
20%
26%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 0
GAE
37%
23%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
GAE
3 - 0
GRO
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |