Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
AJA
4 - 2
GAE
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
ENS
2 - 1
AJA
45%
23%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
69%
17%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1964 |
GAE
2 - 2
VOL
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
AJA
4 - 2
GAE
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
GAE
1 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
FEY
6 - 1
GAE
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
GAE
2 - 2
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |