Europa League 1/16
Global 2-3
Ajax vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GET
2 - 0
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GET
0 - 3
SEV
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GET
2 - 0
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FCB
2 - 1
GET
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GET
3 - 0
VCF
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
0 - 2
GET
43%
27%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |