Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
RMA
1 - 4
AJA
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FEY
0 - 3
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 5
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
RMA
23%
22%
56%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AZA
4 - 2
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 4
SCH
27%
23%
51%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HER
6 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PSV
5 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |