Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 1
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1999 |
FOR
6 - 4
PSV
21%
22%
57%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
FOR
0 - 1
RJC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
PSV
1 - 3
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |