Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1997 |
AJA
4 - 2
BOC
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
SPA
0 - 5
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1997 |
UDI
2 - 1
AJA
43%
25%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
NAC
3 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
FOR
3 - 1
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
FOR
0 - 2
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
FEY
1 - 3
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 0
FOR
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |