Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
BVV
0 - 1
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
AJA
5 - 1
BOS
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
AJA
2 - 0
VOL
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
FOR
1 - 2
BVV
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
HFC
2 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
WIL
0 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
FOR
1 - 0
PSV
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |