Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.6%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.4%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 1
HFC
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
1 - 2
FEY
71%
16%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
0 - 0
FCP
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
NEC
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
BOS
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
HFC
0 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
FEY
3 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |