Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.5%
Win probability
4.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.9%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.5%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.3%
5-0
8%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.8%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.7%
2.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
GRO
2 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
1 - 0
BOH
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 3
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
7 - 2
GAE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
14 - 0
RBD
99%
1%
0%
|
88 | 14 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
BOS
2 - 4
FOR
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIS
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
FOR
0 - 3
VOL
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
NAC
0 - 2
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
FOR
3 - 0
KBK
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |