Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.7%
Win probability
4.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.9%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.6%
6-0
6%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.4%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
HEL
0 - 2
AJA
5%
12%
83%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 0
VOL
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 2
UTR
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
HFC
1 - 0
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
FOR
2 - 0
HEL
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
VOL
1 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
FOR
1 - 1
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |