Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.4%
Win probability
4.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.1%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.8%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5%
2.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
HEL
1 - 4
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
AJA
3 - 3
FEY
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
AJA
8 - 2
WIL
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
FOR
1 - 1
GAE
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
GRO
3 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
HEL
1 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
FOR
1 - 0
FEY
19%
22%
60%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
UTR
4 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |