Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
4.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
AJA
8 - 1
NAC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
GAE
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
FOR
0 - 2
SPA
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
NAC
5 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |