Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
AJA
0 - 1
SPA
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
HER
1 - 1
AJA
29%
21%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
FOR
3 - 0
ELI
64%
20%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
FEY
1 - 0
FOR
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 3
TWE
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
WIL
0 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |