Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
32%
23%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
GAE
1 - 0
AJA
21%
19%
60%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
AJA
1 - 1
ENS
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 5
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
FOR
4 - 1
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FEY
1 - 0
FOR
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
DWS
6 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
VVD
2 - 1
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |