Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
PSV
5 - 2
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 3
AJA
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
AJA
6 - 2
DVO
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 3
AJA
33%
22%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 2
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
FEY
2 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
PSV
1 - 0
FOR
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 4
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |