Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
ELI
2 - 4
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
67%
17%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
VOL
0 - 3
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
AJA
3 - 2
RAP
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
FCB
1 - 0
AJA
24%
20%
56%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
FOR
1 - 3
FEY
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
FOR
0 - 2
ELI
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ADO
1 - 1
FOR
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
FOR
4 - 2
VOL
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
RAP
2 - 0
FOR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |