Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SPA
4 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
AJA
0 - 1
DWS
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1958 |
AJA
1 - 1
ADO
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 1
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 2
SPA
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
FOR
5 - 4
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
ELI
0 - 1
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1958 |
FOR
5 - 5
NAC
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
BOS
0 - 2
FOR
30%
23%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1958 |
FOR
3 - 1
DWS
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |