Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FEY
2 - 3
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
VVV
1 - 1
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
AJA
1 - 0
TSV
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1958 |
VAS
4 - 0
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
AJA
1 - 1
ELI
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FOR
1 - 0
PSV
52%
20%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
ENS
0 - 7
FOR
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
FOR
0 - 1
MVV
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
ADO
1 - 2
FOR
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
FOR
6 - 2
FCB
81%
12%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |