UCL Qualifying Final Play-off Final
Global 2-5
Ajax vs FK Rostov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
RJC
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
AJA
24%
24%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PAO
1 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAO
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
AJA
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ZEN
3 - 2
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FCR
0 - 0
URA
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
AND
0 - 2
FCR
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FCR
1 - 0
GAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
FCR
2 - 2
AND
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |