Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BVO
2 - 3
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
RKC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
AZA
0 - 2
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 1
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
FEY
3 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ZWO
1 - 2
FEY
9%
18%
73%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 5
FEY
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FEY
1 - 1
GRO
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
FEY
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |