Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
LYN
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FEY
2 - 1
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
FEY
5 - 1
RJC
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
FEY
3 - 1
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 7
FEY
22%
24%
55%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
FEY
1 - 1
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |