Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
FCK
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
2 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
FEY
2 - 0
FCD
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FEY
5 - 2
AZA
59%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 0
FEY
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FEY
2 - 1
PSV
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |