Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HSV
1 - 3
AJA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
FEY
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 2
ADO
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 2
SCH
53%
23%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AZA
4 - 2
FEY
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 2
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |